“Really Bad Hit”
What does Russia do without high-precision weapons?
After the largest missile attack on Ukraine, Russia is said to have almost run out of accurate missiles. A ceasefire is still unlikely.
According to the ISW, Russia has almost run out of high-precision weapons after Tuesday’s attacks. Rockets landed here during previous attacks in the Kharkiv region.
Jenny WagnerNews editor
On Tuesday, Ukraine experienced the heaviest rocket fire since the Russian invasion. The destruction is massive: at times ten million people were without electricity. According to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), the Russians shot down a large number of high-precision weapons.
But Russia paid a high price for this. ISW assumes that the Russians can no longer continue to destroy power plants and supply systems at this rate.
Whether this means that Russia will enter a truce in the winter cannot yet be said. Chief of Staff Mark Milley, 64, told CNN that Russia’s military was “really badly battered” after nearly nine months of war, during which the Kremlin achieved almost none of its goals.
Is it winter break?
“There could be a political solution where the Russians withdraw politically,” Miley said at a news conference after the missile attacks. Based on current knowledge, Russian troops will not be able to launch a major offensive. “The Russians will probably take a winter break to buy time,” said military expert Georg Häsler in an interview with Blick TV last weekend.
Without high-precision weapons, Russia will no longer be able to target electricity and water networks in this way. But they hit their target more accurately and can be controlled. And Russia has done it in the past. According to Sky News, 50 percent of Ukraine’s energy infrastructure has already been destroyed.
Near the front line: Crimean airbase on fire(01:22)
Russia is playing for time
A few years ago, Russia was one of the largest arms exporters in the world and is largely self-sufficient, writes “Focus”. According to “Wirtschaftswoche”, President Vladimir Putin, 70, said in 2014 that Russia is capable of producing all weapons by itself. “In addition, it is a matter of national security that we must refrain from importing weapons in the future,” the Kremlin chief said. At that time, sanctions were already imposed on Russia for the annexation of Crimea. But once all the missiles are launched, their own arms industry can no longer keep up. As in the past, Russia could be playing for time to replenish its weapons stockpile.
The threat of air strikes remains for Ukraine. The British Foreign Office sees no sign of a pause yet. Even without high-precision weapons, there are drones and ballistic missiles. These are shot down and then can no longer change their trajectory – but this also causes additional collateral damage. Russia is said to be negotiating another arms deal with Iran. A complete ceasefire therefore seems unlikely.