Democrats hold Senate – Trump divides Republicans

Conservatives are experiencing their miracle: the Democrats hold the majority in the Senate and the House of Representatives is not completely lost to them. Meanwhile, a “civil war” is brewing in the Republican Party.

There has clearly been a denial of reality on the part of the Republicans.

Jim Urquhart/Reuters

Rarely has an election changed the mood in such a way. Most polls had predicted a Republican victory before Tuesday’s midterms. Democrats therefore practiced hangovers and self-mutilation before the polls opened. The left is falling into “denial of reality”, commented the Washington Post, for example. Democrats would not take the problem of high inflation and the problems of the little people seriously. “What went wrong will be debated for months, maybe years.”

Republicans, on the other hand, were brimming with confidence. “There’s not going to be just a red wave, there’s going to be a red tsunami,” said Texas Senator Ted Cruz. Even Donald Trump Jr. predicted the crushing defeat of the Democrats on Election Day. He tweeted: “Bloodbath!!!”

Defeats for “choice deniers” in swing states

However, the results of the midterm elections have now turned almost everything upside down: Democrats may be glossing over the negative consequences of their excessive spending policies, but the real denial of reality has apparently come from Republicans. Fearing Donald Trump and his loyal voters, party leaders downplayed the January 6, 2021 attack on the Capitol and refrained from impeaching the president. The very deputies who voted for impeachment were outlawed as traitors. This is now taking revenge. Without a clear condemnation of the attack on American democracy and Trump’s role in it, swing voters in key swing states appear unwilling to trust Republicans.

This was also evident in Nevada on Saturday. In a tight race, incumbent Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto clinched her party’s Senate seat against Trump nominee Adam Laxalt. Like several other Trump loyalists who have lost elections in other states, Laxalt has been spreading the story of a stolen presidential election in 2020. Democrats now hold some 50 seats in the Senate. With the additional vote of his vice president, Kamala Harris, he will retain control of the small chamber. In the second round of elections on December 6 in Georgia, they could even extend their current majority in the Senate to 51 out of 100 seats. This is particularly important for future judicial appointments.

Senator Ted Cruz waves to the crowd at the baseball championship parade in Houston.

Senator Ted Cruz waves to the crowd at the baseball championship parade in Houston.

Imago/Erik Williams / Imago

Republican Senate candidate Adam Laxalt at a campaign event in Las Vegas.

Republican Senate candidate Adam Laxalt at a campaign event in Las Vegas.

John Locher/AP

American mistrust of Trump’s “election deniers” is also evident at the state level. In the six swing states where Trump tried to overturn the outcome of the 2020 election, his people were now running for governor and secretary of state. In these capacities, they would play an important role in organizing, monitoring and certifying the next presidential election. They feared they could help Trump in another attempt to reverse the Democratic electoral victory two years from now. But now the so-called “choice-deniers” have almost consistently suffered defeat in these important swing states.

The Arizona governor’s race is still open. But even there, Trump’s candidate Kari Lake is just behind her actually pale Democratic opponent. Lake is one of the former president’s staunchest followers and extremely popular among his supporters. Many have already acted as a possible vice president at Trump’s side for 2024. But perhaps her star has already passed its zenith.

Infighting instead of attacking Biden

Instead of a red wave, Republicans will experience a blue miracle. Given President Biden’s poor poll numbers, they were projected to pick up approximately 4 Senate seats and 30 House seats in these midterm elections. But six days into the midterms, even the Republican majority in the upper chamber is not entirely certain. Currently, forecasts predict 219 seats for Republicans and 216 seats for Democrats.

Republicans actually wanted to go into attack mode after the midterms to make life difficult for President Joe Biden. Commissions of inquiry into his son Hunter Biden or a chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan were planned. The impeachment of the president and individual ministers was also discussed. The goal should be to dismantle Biden to pave the way for a Trump comeback in 2024.

Arizona Republican gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake points to supporters at the Republican Watch Party in Scottsdale.

Arizona Republican gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake points to supporters at the Republican Watch Party in Scottsdale.

Ross D. Franklin / AP

President Joe Biden leaves Air Force One with his grandson.

President Joe Biden leaves Air Force One with his grandson.

Joshua Roberts/Reuters

But before the Conservatives can even go on the offensive, they must first pass the test. For example, “Newsweek” on Friday headlined: “The Republican Civil War Begins Now.” Trump is expected to announce his candidacy for the next presidential election on Tuesday night. He also expects the support of party leaders such as Kevin McCarthy. He definitely wants to become the speaker of the House of Representatives, but because of the expected narrow majority, he also needs the votes of Trump’s right wing. The question is: Will McCarthy once again submit to the tribune of the people? Like he did after the attack on the Capitol. Or will he and some Republicans dare to openly break with Trump?

Democratic voices on the Internet are even discussing the idea of ​​making Republican Trump critic Liz Cheney the speaker. The congresswoman is the vice-chair of the parliamentary commission of inquiry into the attack on the Capitol, but she missed her re-election. However, she could be elected as chairwoman even without a parliamentary mandate. Despite the amazing election result, such a scenario seems like an unrealistic miracle.

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